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Dogs of the Dow: Strategy Explained, Benefits, And Performance

Last updated 03/19/2024 by

Dan Agbo

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Summary:
“Dogs of the Dow” is a popular investment strategy that focuses on high-yield investments within the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA). This article explores the strategy, its methodology, performance, and more to help investors understand its potential benefits.

What are Dogs of the Dow?

“Dogs of the Dow” is a well-known investment strategy that has captured the attention of investors for decades. This strategy is designed to not only keep pace with the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) but, if possible, to outperform it. The essence of the Dogs of the Dow strategy lies in allocating your investment funds to the 10 highest dividend-yielding, blue-chip stocks from the DJIA’s impressive lineup of 30 components. The concept is straightforward: you identify the top dividend payers, and you aim to benefit from their income.
The appeal of Dogs of the Dow is its simplicity. It doesn’t involve complex financial instruments or exotic strategies. Instead, it’s about choosing established, dividend-paying companies and letting your investments ride over time. Each year, at the dawn of a new calendar year, this strategy calls for rebalancing, and it’s precisely this systematic approach that has made it a popular choice among investors.

Understanding Dogs of the Dow

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is one of the oldest and most closely watched indexes globally. It is often viewed as a barometer for the broader market, influencing the decisions of market strategists and individual investors alike. Given the DJIA’s influence, it’s only natural that investment strategies would emerge, using some of its components as a foundation.
The Dogs of the Dow strategy, while not a new concept, gained significant popularity in 1991. This newfound fame was largely due to the release of Michael B. O’Higgins’ book, “Beating the Dow,” where the strategy was extensively discussed. O’Higgins even gave it the catchy name, “Dogs of the Dow.”

Dogs of the Dow methodology

The core premise of the Dogs of the Dow strategy hinges on the assumption that blue-chip companies are generally consistent in their dividend policies. They don’t typically adjust their dividend payouts in response to short-term market fluctuations. As a result, the dividend yield can serve as a reflection of a company’s long-term intrinsic value. The strategy’s reasoning is that companies with high dividend yields relative to their stock prices may be positioned near the bottom of their business cycle. Consequently, they could experience stock price appreciation faster than companies with lower dividend yields.
In essence, investors following the Dogs of the Dow methodology aim to select stocks of companies whose dividends seem poised to grow. By reinvesting in these high-dividend-yielding companies each year, investors anticipate achieving competitive returns compared to the broader market.

How the Dogs of the Dow strategy works

The beauty of the Dogs of the Dow strategy lies in its simplicity. Here’s how it works: at the close of the final trading day of the year, you identify the 10 stocks with the highest dividend yields from the DJIA. These become your chosen “Dogs of the Dow” for the upcoming year. On the first trading day of the new year, you allocate an equal amount of your investment capital to each of these 10 stocks. You then patiently hold this portfolio for a year, allowing it to grow. This process repeats itself at the beginning of every subsequent year.
For the average individual investor, investing might not always be this straightforward, given the array of investment strategies available. This is where the value of understanding your investment choices comes into play. In line with this, numerous tools and resources are available to assist investors interested in the Dogs of the Dow strategy. You can easily find opinions, commentary, analyses, calculators, charts, forecasts, and stock screeners related to this strategy by exploring various sources on the internet. There’s even a dedicated Dogs of the Dow website, offering a treasure trove of information.

Sample performance comparison

Over time, the Dogs of the Dow strategy has shown that its performance closely mirrors that of the DJIA. While there have been years when the DJIA outperformed the Dogs, and vice versa, the overall historical performance of this strategy is indeed impressive. It provides investors with a dependable and consistent approach to potentially grow their investments in line with the broader market.
Despite experiencing more significant losses than the DJIA during the 2008 financial crisis, the Dogs of the Dow made a remarkable recovery in the years that followed. Their performance over a decade remained quite competitive, with a return profile similar to that of the DJIA. However, in the last five years, from 2018 to 2023, the Dogs have somewhat trailed the DJIA, resulting in slightly lower trailing total returns. This underlines the importance of considering various market conditions and time horizons when evaluating the strategy’s performance.

The bottom line

The Dogs of the Dow strategy is suitable for investors seeking fixed payments in their portfolio. While it may slightly underperform the DJIA over shorter periods, it has historically provided a reliable long-term dividend strategy.
Weigh the Risks and Benefits
Here is a list of the benefits and drawbacks to consider.
Pros
  • High-yield investments
  • Reliable long-term dividend strategy
Cons
  • Possible underperformance compared to the DJIA

Frequently asked questions

What is the Dogs of the Dow strategy?

The Dogs of the Dow strategy is an investment approach that involves annually investing in the 10 highest dividend-yielding stocks from the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

How are the Dogs of the Dow chosen?

The 10 companies with the highest dividend yield in the DJIA on the last trading day of the year are selected as the Dogs of the Dow.

Is there an ETF that tracks the Dogs of the Dow?

While there isn’t a specific ETF for Dogs of the Dow, there are ETFs that focus on dividend strategies within the Dow.

How does the Dogs of the Dow strategy compare to other investment strategies?

The Dogs of the Dow strategy is designed for investors seeking reliable long-term dividends, making it distinct from strategies focused on capital growth.

Is the Dogs of the Dow strategy suitable for all types of investors?

The Dogs of the Dow strategy is generally more appealing to long-term investors seeking stable dividend income. It might not be the best choice for those primarily interested in capital growth or traders with a short-term focus. Before adopting this strategy, consider your investment goals and risk tolerance to determine its suitability for your portfolio.

Key takeaways

  • The Dogs of the Dow strategy targets high-yield investments.
  • Historically, it closely follows the DJIA’s performance.
  • It’s a suitable option for long-term dividend-oriented investors.
  • Rebalancing at the beginning of each year is crucial to the strategy’s success.
  • The strategy is based on the belief that high dividend yields reflect a company’s intrinsic value.

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